The results of the presidential election defied nearly every national and state election poll, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump.
Watch the video and read the article below. Then write at least a 250-word response answering the following questions:
Identify and explain two reasons why the public opinion polls got the 2016 election results wrong.
Given the discrepancy in the 2016 election results, do you think polls matter? Is polling dead and irrelevant to our democratic system? Why? Or does it play a role in democracy and needs to be reformed? Why?
Your response should reference the video and article as well as quote substantive information from the assigned materials. Any response that does not, will receive 0 points.
After you have submitted your post, please reply to at least two of your classmates’ posts.
Read and Watch
Pew Research Center: Why the 2016 election polls missed their mark?
Allan Smith and Brett LoGiuratio: “Polls Might Not Be Capable of Predicting Elections.” Business Insider, December 3, 2016
http://www.businessinsider.com/polls-wrong-trump-clinton-why-2016-11
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